States Times Review predict that a maximum of only 19 seats can be won by the Opposition in the coming election, mainly because of 3 corner fights.

Photo of electoral map from thestraitstimes
Photo of electoral map from thestraitstimes

States Times Review predict the 2015 electoral results based on the following conditions:

1) 3-corner fights result without a Worker’s Party contest = PAP win (18 seats)
Potong Pasir SMC – PAP (Sitoh Yih Pin), SPP (Lina Chiam), DPP (Benjamin Pwee)
Mountbatten SMC – PAP, SPP, DPP
Hong Kah SMC – PAP (Amy Khor), SPP, DPP
Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC(5) – PAP, SPP, DPP
Tanjong Pagar GRC(5) – PAP, RP, DPP
Tampines GRC(5) – PAP, SFP, NSP
2) Constituencies with a Minister and weak Opposition contest = PAP win (52 seats)
Ang Mo Kio GRC(6) – PAP (PM Lee Hsien Loong), RP
Pasir Ris Punggol GRC(6) – PAP (DPM Teo Chee Hean), SDA
Marine Parade GRC(5) – PAP (ESM Goh Chok Tong), WP
Sembawang GRC(5) – PAP (Khaw Boon Wan), SDP
Jurong GRC(5) – PAP (Tharman Shamugaratnam), NSP
West Coast GRC(4) – PAP (S Iswaran), RP
Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC(4) – PAP (Lawrence Wong), SDP
Holland-Bukit Timah GRC(4) – PAP (Vivian Balakrishnan), SDP
Neesoon GRC(5) – PAP (Shanmugam), WP
Chua Chu Kang GRC(4) – PAP Walkover
Pioneer SMC – PAP (Cedric Foo), NSP
Yuhua SMC – PAP (Grace Fu), SDP
Bukit-Panjang SMC – PAP, SDP
Radin Mas SMC – PAP (Sam Tan), SFP

3) Other constituencies with weak PAP candidates = 50-50 chance (11 seats)
Bukit Batok SMC – PAP, SDP (Chee Soon Juan)
Fengshan SMC – PAP, WP
Sengkang West SMC – PAP (Lam Pin Min), WP
East Coast GRC(4) – PAP (Lim Swee Say), WP
Jalan Besar GRC(4) – PAP, WP

4) Workers’ Party with weak PAP candidates = Worker’s Party win (8 seats)
Macpherson SMC – PAP (Tin Pei Ling), WP
Aljunied GRC(5) – PAP (Victor Lye), WP (Low Thia Kiang)
Punggol-East SMC – PAP (Charles Chong), Lee Li Lian
Hougang SMC – PAP (Lee Hong Chuan), WP (Png Eng Huat)